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From
reliable sources:
“The climatic destabilization begins with the industrialization and unfortunately it continues to worse nowadays. In the half of the 19th century the carbon dioxide value was about 280 particles each million and only 100 years later the same value is increased up to 360 particles each million. From 1950 until 1999 only 11 countries have emitted 530, 3 milliards tons of carbon dioxide: the U.S.A. 186, 1 milliards, the European Union 127, 8 milliards, Russia 68, 4 milliards, China 57, 6 milliards, the Ukraine 21, 7 milliards, India 15, 5 milliards, Canada 14, 9 milliards, Poland 14, 4 milliards, South Africa 8, 5 milliards, Mexico 7, 8 milliards and Australia 7, 6 milliards.
If the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere increases, the molecules emit more heat which again can increase the global temperature. Carbon dioxide in combination with other types of greehouse gases like methane (about 10 % of the food, given to industrially grown up animals, are transformed in methane which ends in the atmosphere) and azote becomes a dangerous cocktail for the environment. The result of this mixture is the climatic instability. The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) publishes a study in 1994 which reveals that the emissions of carbon and petroleum have emitted an excessive quantity of sun heat. These alarming alterations have created high temperatures, extrem droughts and catastrophic alluviums in many parts of the globe; moreover, entire ecosystems have been irreversibly modificated and epidemics have cropped up.
After two years of work, a team with over 1000 scientists prooves in the study “Climate Change 2001”, that the temperatures of the planet will continue to increase: the minimum will be 2, 8 degrees until the end of this century.
This value is 100 % higher than the value foreseen of the same team 15 years ago in 1985. And if these 5, 8 degrees continue to increase in the same way?
Only this value would create disastrous damages on the ecosystems: alluviums, landslides, hurricanes, and all consequences such as lack of water, the development and spreading of new diseases; in fact, these ecological problems will not only cost milliards of dollars, but they will be the realization of apocalyptical visions.
The Global Commons Institute has estimated the costs, caused by the damages of the climatic change, about 200 milliards of dollars until 2005 and about 400 milliards of dollars until 2012. In the year 2051 they even could exceed the 20.000 milliards of dollars.
The first areas, hit by the climatic desasters, will be the coast areas because of the elevation of the sea – level: entire cities, little isle states and all their popolations could be devasted by hurricanes, violent stormes or the elevation of the sea. The increase of the surface sea – temperature up to 26 until 27 degrees is one of the conditions which create hurricanes in the tropic areas. The increase of the globe increases the sea - temperature a fact that favours the formation of hurricanes. These hurricanes represent one of the most destructive desasters with which we' ll have to deal with.
Once a time the hurricanes have been rare events, today they’ re always more frequent because of the ecological crises caused by man and the combination of climatic change, industrialisation and deforest. Until the half of the last century the average of the hurricanes was 73 km/h, today it is 260 km./h The more the temperature of the sea will continue to increase, the more hurricanes we will have.
Next we have only a few of the hundreds of calamities that happened due to the climatic changes between 1995 and 1999: in the year 1995 a flood hits nearly 10 millions of persons in Bangladesh, leaving 70 victims. Always in 1995, the isle St. Thomas in the Caribic islands is devasted by hurricanes. At the same time in Europe, the Netherlands and France get hit by alluviums never seen before. The greatest drought in the South of Spain is registrated at Cadige still in 1995, the temperatures reach the unbelievable 34 degrees in Russia and the hot temperatures reach 45 degrees in the North of India and kill 300 persons.
500 persons die because of the heat wave in Chicago and Great Britain has the hottest summer since 350 years and the driest season since 1721. The nordest of Brasil suffers the worst drought of the century and in the month of june, forest fires burn down intere forests in Canada, nearly 100.000 hectars each a day. 280.000 hectars of forests and pastures burn down in Mongolia, too.
2000 persons die in Andhra Prades in 1996 due to the most intense cyclone of the century. 600 persons die in Angola always in 1996 due to the taiphoons, and 5 millions of persons loose everything because of the unexpected alluviums in Corea.
The worst drought ever seen destroys millions of hectars of wheat in Oklahoma and Kansas so that the U.S.A. grain reserves are the lowest since 50 years. Lack of food and water are registrated in the Indian areas Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Orrissa and Chattisgarh again because of the drought.
In 1997 30 persons die and 120.000 persons loose their houses in the Philippines due to the inexhaustable rain quantities. Still in 1997 a series of frost and disastrous thunderstorms provoke damages of 25 millions of dollars in the North West Pacific.
An alluvium destroys 100.000 farms in Bolivia. The river Ohio passes the water - level about 12 meters, dragging 57 persons to death. Thousands of people in Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio and West Virginia have even to leave their houses along the river bed. The alluvium of the Red River creates damages about 2 milliards of dollars in the Canadian Manitoba, in North and South Dakota and in Minnesota. Still in 1997, the winter temperatures in Rio de Janeiro reach 42 degrees.
13 litres of rain per square meter come down in only 14 hours in Peru in 1998 and destroy more than 800 kilometers of streets and bring 60 bridges to collapse. A month after 3084 persons get infected by the colera in Ecuador, 108 persons die due to the alluviums and landslides and 28.000 persons loose their houses.
Still in the same year, the rivers Juba and Shabeele pass the water - bed and kill more than 2000 persons and millions of cattles in the Corn of Africa. A horrible snowstorm torments the heights of Western China always in 1998: over 60.000 shepherds from the provinces Quinghai and Tibet loose 750.000 cattles, nearly all food reserves and 48 persons their live. This snowstorm was 4 times intenser than normally and the temperatures reached 49 degrees under zero. In the same month a lots of rice fields are destroyed by alluviums in Laos which provokes a lack of food for more than 10 millions of the popolation of Laos who risk their lives for undernourishment.
In June, still in the same year, 330 persons die in the Yemen, where pass the worst alluviums of the last 40 years. The malaria breaks out, due to the alluvium, transformed in stagnant water, and causes 168.000 infected people and 30 victims.
More than 13.000 forest fires destroy entire areas in Mexico, killing people and releasing environment alert in Mexico City. Texas proclaims the state of emergency after that the smoke clouds have moved to the Golf of Mexico. The smoke of the forest fires provokes emergency situations in Indonesia and Malaysia: airports and schools get closed, two ships collide in the straits of Malacca and causes 29 victims;
the bad visibility brings even crash an airplane with 234 passengers and car crashs leave behind another time houndreds of victims.
In 1999 a horrible cyclone destroys the East of the State of Orissa in East of India: about 2 millions of houses and 730.000 hectars of rice fields get destroyed in twelve coast districts.
80 % of the coconut palms are uprooted or destroyed and all the papaya and banana plantations are wipped out. More than 1500 persons and 300.000 cattles die, and more than 15.000 watertights get contaminated by salty water. We have no ufficial numbers about the victims, but they are reckoned about 20.000.
Unfortunately we have a constant increase of dramatic events caused by the climatic changes even in 2000, 2001, 2002 and 2003: cyclons, hurricanes, droughts and vast forest fires, intense snow storms and polar temperatures create destruction and death on the whole planet, up to 35.000 victims in Europe due to the extrem heat in the summer 2003. France and Italy keep the record of human victims, most of all elderly people.
The climatic change, the consequence of the greenhouse gases produced by the pollutions of the "homo sapiens tecnologicus", doesn' t only increase the number of alluviums, cyclons, droughts and extrem heats, but melts even the polar ice - caps and the glaciers. The snow cover of the Northern hemisphere is reduced more than 10 % in the last 30 years.
Due to the climatic changes the globe temperature is increased about 1 degree as compared with a century ago. After 1983, always in the last century, we have the 12 hottest years; the four absolut hottest years only in the last 10 years. Since 1980 the average temperature of Alaska and Sibiria is increased 4 degrees. The ice - caps not only form later, but even break earlier, reducing inexorably. During the last 40 years the thickness of the sea glaciers in the Arctic is decreased about 40 %. The increasing temperatures are even melting the mountain and continental glaciers. The mountain glaciers are reduced 400 cubic kilometers between 1961 and 1997. The extrem heat produced by the greenhouse effect is responsible for 8000 joule, regarding the fusion of the ice of the Antartic and Greenland, and for 1100 joule, regarding the melting of the mountain glaciers.
The glaciers are disappearing in the Alps, in Alaska and in the State of Washington; the Kilimanjaro, the highest mountain of Africa, has lost over 75 % of its ice - cap; only two of six glaciers of Venezuela are still visible and it´s foreseeable that the glaciers of the Glacier National Park of Montano will be totaly melted until 2070. The glaciers of Gangotri, which are feeding the river Ganges, reduce 5 meters every year. Only the melting of the ice - caps beyond the polar regions will increase the sea level 5 centimeters, too.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change foresees an average increasement of the global temperature between 1,5 and 6 degrees until 2100. The global catastrophe seems not to be avoiable. The Aosis demands that the emission levels of carbon dioxide get reduced 20 % compared to 1990. Germany and Great Britain suggest a reduction of 10 % until 2005 and of 15 % until 2020. Dutch scientists point out even a reduction between 60 % and 70 %.
Once again from reliable sources
At the end of 2003, one of the hottest years in the history of man, the Oceonographic Institute "Woods Hole" has published a research which reports that the salinity of the polar seas is decreasing continually, while the salinity of the tropical seas is increasing; besides they have registrated radical changes of the oceanic running waters that regulate the stability of the world's climate, while extremely strange and violent metereological effects have been registrated more or less everywhere.
These scientists considerate the actual change of the circulation of the Gulf Stream in the North Atlantic the most worrying oceanic change ever measured since the invention of instruments for their survey.
The disappearance of the Gulf Stream could turn into the worst catastrophe ever seen in the history: it wouldn' t save any being on the whole surface of earth; all would have been involved and there wouldn´t be any safe zone. The affected area would be very large and the damages would persist until the reappearance of the Stream. We could remain caught in this climatic trap for thousands of years with the nearly total reduction of the Earth to give living - space for all beings.
The continuos changes are part of the normal climatical developement of the earth: there have been a lot in the history and in the last 3 millions years they have followed regular cycles. The emergence of the terrestrial isthmus in the centre of America, 2, 8 millions of years ago, modified the fondamental structure of the oceanic running waters and this fact, united with changes of the emissions of sun energy and a light change of the terrestrial orbital, stabilized more or less our climate.
After that there have been a lots of Ice Ages, each one of a duration of about 100.000 years, spaced by interglacial periods of 10.000 until 15.000 years; and the whole human history has been developped in the last third of the most recent Ice Age.
The next Ice Age will begin when the oceanic running waters will stop to bring warm water in the polar regions and when the snow will not smell any more for several summer times. This will provoke the increase of the superficial reflexion of the planet to the point that will be consented the formation of glaciers of very large extensions. But before this can come true, there will be a bottom of heat, followed by a violent change of the meteorological conditions. We nearly reached this increase of temperature in the summer 2003, when the temperatures in Europe reached unprecedented levels. Even in the Arctic the thermometer was reading temperatures which have been extremely higher than the normal temperatures. The consequence of the extreme increasing of the sea temperature would have been the formation of an apocaliptical cyclonic event that would have triggered of this process of climatical change with unimaginable consequences for the survival of all beings of our planet.
Besides the scientists are convinced that there wouldn´t have been any continent, city, village or person that would come out of it unharmed and the worst aspect is that this change could happen at any moment.
The man has not the possibility to intervene on the cycles that are alternating Ice Ages and interglacial periods, but a good project regolated by the Constitutional World Charta in order to protect the Ecological Democracy can minimize the impacts of climatical changes on our civility and maybe even postpone or reduce the violence of the devastations.
But unfortunately the governments of several states are not able to find an agreement for their common environmental politics. If the statesmen committed themselves more to ratify the Protocol of Kyoto, we could reduce the emissions of CO2, particularly in the industrialized countries where it is more easy to control the levels of pollution.
The challenge regards everybody, industries, governments and every single consumer of energy: if this decision was accepted by only 20% of the European, American, Canadian, Japones and now even Cinese (<= for the moment the megaconsumers of energy) citizens, the worldwide levels of the CO2 emission could decrease. So the human factor could have a minimal impact on the global temperature increase, by slowing down in a considerable way the final devastations.
But, on the contrary, there is a lack of engagement by the governments' leaders, most of all by the United States of America which have adopted a position of dangerous and aggressive indifference towards to the climatic changes, and all that in a moment in which milliards of human beings are threatened. All the people who ignore deliberately the danger will not only be responsible for the greatest catastrophe that could become true at any moment, but they will even be responsible for the end of the modern civilization, the best, the most free and perhaps the most evoluted that mankind has ever known."
The 26th of December 2003: an apolyptical earth - and a seaquake affects the Southern Asia killing life in the affected territories.
The dimensions of this event are so strong that the isle of Sumatra has been moved more than 30 meters and that are caused even variations in the terrestrial axis.
If there is a connection between this event and the continous climatic variations? It´s too early to say it, but it' s not too early to think
it!
Finally something is happening. Consciousness and conscience are growing steadily
The year 2005 and all the catostrophes and thousands of victims, confirm once more the dramatic worsening of the climate change, which is conditioning in an exponential way our own existence and that one of our planet. The year 2005 has unfortunately a record of tropical hurricane stormes, like the hurricane Catherine, which has destroyed nearly whole New Orleans, and which has created extreme rainfalls in whole Europe. The cry of help of the climatologists is always more pressing and the attention of the scientists is concentrated always more on this argument.
A new discipline is born: Geo - engeneer or Eath or Climate engeneer. The target of this discipline is to find solutions - some of which sound very often like taken from a Science Fiction Stories - able to slow down as fast as possible the warm up of the Earth to gain time and to replace the polluting energy with the non polluting, like for example the Brasilian Airline, which has replaced the kerosine with ethanol. But it doesn' t need only the will, to realize the new projects, but even time, a lots of time.
In order to lower the temperatures, the physicist Lowell Wood wants to construct an huge umbrella in the space, formed by reflecting balls, which are flying in the stratosphere or made by reflecting metallic platforms.
They have to get fixed in an adequate orbital and so they can reduce the forth of the sunrays. The sunlight, filtered in this way, has nearly the same power as the sunlight on a cloudy day.
Or you can create clouds: they increase the albedo, the quantity of light, which the earth reflects into the space. The project of Stephen Salter, Geo - engineer at the University of Edinbourgh, is to create swimming stages which should rotate turbines with wind energy. The windenergy pulverizes the seawater and this condensation favours the formation of clouds.
These clouds would reduce the sunrays and decrease the average temperatures of the Earth. But what could be the consequences of all these projects on the climatical changes in a lot of parts of this Earth? Some simulators are just active, in order to examine the lateral effects of these projects.
Other projects want to exstinguish first of all the climate enemy no. 1: the CO2. The oceonographer John Martin has observed that iron is favours the increase of microscopic little algas which absorb CO2 for their metabolism. That' s why the enriching of the World seas with iron could lead to the absorption of a lots of iron by these algas. Due to scientifical studies one kg of iron is able to absorb 100.000 kg of CO2. But if these algas would get to much, an huge intervention could affect the biological balance, formed in millions of years.
To plant trees may function for some regions, but unfortunately not for the whole world. If we remind us, that only one burning tree, creates the same quantity of CO2, which he has absorbed during its whole existence, we will notice how palliative this solution is.
Klaus Lackner, physicist at the Center for Earth - engineers at the Columbia University, proposes to filter the CO2 directly out of the air, with filters enriched by hydroxides of iodine or calcium, famous for their capacity to absorb the gas. An huge filter, as large as a television, could absorve about 25 tonnes of gas. But if you want to absorb 30 milliards of tonnes of CO2, which is the quantity, that the mankind produces in only one year, how many filters would have to be realized? It would be a Cyclopean enterprise.
Roberto Bencini, geologist of the Istituto Nazionale for Geologia and Vulcanologia, explains that it would be easier to catch the CO2 in the underground, like they do just in different regions in order to get nature gas and in some thermoelectric centrals where the superfluous CO2 gets absorbed and, compressed, injected into a deep water table.
Another plant in Canada is injecting every day 5000 tonnes of CO2 in an oilfield about 1,6 km of depth with the double vantage to better even the exploitation of petrol. The studies have shown that in these fields the CO2 seals itself with the silicates, and so it gets transformed into minerals, which refill the porosity of the rocks. It' s estimated that 99, 999 % of CO2 will remain down there about 5000 years.
The CO2 could even get locked under the sea, where it would remain because of the pressure.
Extreme projects, which may seem on the first sight futuristic, but which express of lots of initiative and fantasy, to repare the damages, which have anthropical components and which want to recreate balance.
Damages, which - if we can believe all the scientists - can' t be repared never again. And so the scientist foresee the worst: the exstinction of all living forms in a short time.
Before the new technologies can be used, it' s absolutely important to stabilize new limits for the CO2 by the Protocol of Kyoto, because the actual limits aren' t sufficient for the battle against the climate effects, and that every nation has to respect these limits, above all the United States of America and China, which are living an enorm economic increase, at the cost of extreme consequences for the pollution of the
environment.
The warm up of the Earth is happening every day in front of our eyes, and every day we hear about these problems in the mass media. At the end there are the scientists who examinate the climate and the destructing effects, and they notice, that these phenomenons have been increased enormally in the last 30 years. It's absolutely time that the cultural conscience grows, and it has to grow fastly, because it' s absolutely necessary for a radical change, and we, if we don' t want to get punished by the death penalty, have to partecipate.
Even in 2007 the list of the ambient catastrophes is longer than a year ago and it continues to seem the most normal thing of the world: we’re doing nothing and we’re living in a passive and relaxed way, but we’re always hoping to be never hit.
If we name once again all the catastrophes that really happened this year, we would have to repeat the same things we said before, with the only exception to describe new dramatic sceneries.
But ….. the conscience and the knowledge of all the problems and risks that have to do with the climatic change get always more important in the public life.
And so we suspect that al the real motivations are in the Shock Economy - or better: in the capitalism of the catastrophes.
In November 2007 we inform about the following ultimate in a report of the UNO
"Either we chance all our lifestyle or there will be an ambient catastrophe because of the …!"
The secretary of the UNO, Ban Ki-moon, supported by the most important scientists in this field, announced, after a very deep analysis of the rain forest and the Antarctic, that the consequences of the warming-up of the climate can be considered like an "horror film". At Valencia in Spain, where the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change) met, has been declared that there’s no time anymore.
The IPCC is the scientific committee that 1988 has been formed by different organisms of the United Nations, the WMO (World Meteorological Organization) and the UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) with the object to observe the warming-up of the earth in the whole world. The continuously published reports of the IPCC base on the worldwide conventions, among other things the frame conventions of the United Nations about Climate Change and the protocol of Kyoto that realizes them.
In this year the American Ex-Vice-President Al Gore has won the Nobel Price for his efforts in developing the public awareness of the environment and the risks of climate change. The numbers are always the same, just published in the 4th rapport: the sea level has grown in the last 100 years about 1 meter and unfortunately it continues to grow.
In the future the following consequences because of the continuous melting of the icebergs will probably hit most of all big cities in the Asian area; in the meanwhile there will be without water more than 250 Mio of persons until the year 2020 in Africa.
A third of all plants and animals will risk to disappear on the whole world.
In the whole world there will be extreme events and catastrophes which will change life on the whole world.
This report arrives a few days after the conference of Bali has to control the Protocol of Kyoto that has just been surpassed by all the dramatic events.
For the scientists of the UNO there is no space for discussions and doubt.
We have to act immediately and drastically. Within 2012 (and only 8 years remain) we have to stop the increasing of the pollutants and then reduce them immediately, otherwise there will be irrevocable. In this dramatic vision we can affirm - for heaven’s sake - that people take more and more notice of the importance to finally change something. Even China and India, two states that continue to grow econamically, seem to react more sensible on the control of the polluting effects. In the United States Al Gore has hurt the American economy and production with his raising up of the public ignorance; but they begun immediately with the opening of a new market for eco-products and the destruction of the polluting ones.
This strategy that wants to lead to a change of the mind could enrich all those who are just rich and powerful.
Even if the richness doesn’t fall like rain on our earth, so there will grow the hope that the future generations will survive and that they will enjoy all the fruits and all the beauty of our earth - just like our forefathers did millions of years ago.
Bali moderate optimism.
The conference of Bali that united representatives of the whole world in order to redefine the limits of greenhouse gas in view of new catastrophically facts, was once again without any concrete solutions.
After 13 days of top secret negotiations the "roadmap" of Bali has been accepted with the common consensus of envoys of 190 present countries. But the United States expressed their intention to prepare a new proposal, though they’ re still contrary to the fixation of the obligatory greenhouse gas emissions. It provides a plan, in order to treat a new convention about climate change that should replace the protocol of Kyoto in a more ambitious way.
“Kyoto 2” that should be treated within the next 2 years, will be firmed in 2009 at Kopenhagen. The new treaty will get in vigour at the end of 2012.
The treatment that will be published by the new member partners, should be obligatory for all countries from 2013 on. And we dont't have to forget Australia, that finally firmed the Kyoto protocol during the conference of Bali. And at the end even Italy which produces much more greenhouse gases than the fixed limits, and so they’re at the end of all countries in battle with climate
change.
2008, year of the "20-20-20"
Green light by the College of Commissioners of the European Commission's plan to combat climate change. This is a package of legislative proposals on which the EU council had already found the cartel in March of last year, setting the objectives outlined by the abbreviation "20-20-20". That is the achievement of 20 percent of energy production from renewable sources, improvement of 20 percent efficiency and a cut of 20 percent in emissions of carbon dioxide. Targets to be reached before the date of 2020. In the case of Italy, will cut 13% of C02 emissions in areas not included in emissions trading scheme (ETS) and will increase by 17% energy consumption from renewable sources by 2020 compared to 2005 levels . Now the commissioners have better defined those goals, divided into five different standards to which is added a document on state aid. As well as before the European Parliament, the document must pass the examination of Member States. Brussels hopes to approve the measures by 2008 but Mr Barroso has said to expect "difficult negotiations". An anticipation of the hardness of the clash that you consume in Europe were unable to observe recently during the debate of legislation to reduce emissions of CO2 to be imposed on car manufacturers in the production of new cars. The package to combat climate change Union, in addition to the objectives of 20-20-20 also provides for an increase in use of biofuels, 10 x percent in the transport sector.
Even in 2008 analyzes the relationship arising from the three 'working group' of Gieco, (The Gieco brings together the best researchers worldwide and is an intergovernmental group of experts on climate, born in 1988 at the initiative of the World Meteorological Organization and United Nations Environment and was in particular to the Kyoto Protocol), the meeting of world experts on climate change stipulates that the climate catastrophe is around the corner and threatens to close our survival. The new report says that Gieco of the greenhouse effect exists and that it is accelerating. Over the past 10 years, both concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere and the temperatures have risen much faster than in the past. According to figures that were circulating before the last meeting (November 2007), in 2100 the experts advocating a doubling of concentrations of CO2 (550 parts per million) compared it to pre-industrial period and at the same time, temperatures could rise 2 to 4.5 degrees. A huge leap when one considers that since the last ice age, occurred 10,000 years ago, the current average temperature has risen by 5 degrees. Unfortunately, these increases in emissions ago reflected a diminished capacity to absorb CO2 from oceans and vegetation. While 50 years ago for every tonne of CO2 emitted these "reservoirs" absorbs 600 kg, only 550 kg are removed from the atmosphere, with a trend to a further decline. The specialists in 113 countries gathered in Paris to 90% estimate the probability of a liability in human overheat climate. The Earth will respond to a catastrophic warming during this and the next century. The computer simulations of Gieco have predicted a global warming of 1 ° F every 10 years and 5-6 ° C (10-11 ° F) by 2100, which would cause a global catastrophe whose effects on human life, the habitat natural, energy, water and food. All this is based on the assumption that global warming is caused by CO2 in the atmosphere and that this growth will accelerate. The largest increase in emissions occurred in developing countries, especially China and India, while in industrialized countries, adhering to the Kyoto Protocol emissions have increased slowly. China has overtaken the United States and became the country largest emitter of CO2 in the world, while India will soon exceed Russia.
Catastrophic predictions for the future: millions of people in Africa to suffer water shortages by 2020, about one third of plant and animal species risk extinction, and climate change will have negative effects on the health of millions. The most surprising conclusion of the report is that the poorest regions of the world that suffer most from the effects of warming of the globe. According to the report approved by some 400 delegates at the Gieco, representatives from over 120 nations and then delivered to policy makers, any change of lifestyle and behavior may contribute to the reduction of emissions (greenhouse gases) in all sectors. The cost reduction can be accessed and the need to act quickly is, in the opinion of the experts, not postponed. The Europeans want the United States and emerging countries (China, India, etc.), Which does not participate in the Kyoto Protocol, also undertake to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases under this new agreement, what currently refuse. Use chopsticks to the Kyoto Protocol and a future not encouraging for rivers and seas of Italy and southern Europe. Despite the imminent return to the presidency in the White House, the U.S. did not seem inclined to accede to the Protocol of Kyoto. This is what they have reported the two advisors of the two candidates for the presidency, Mc Cain and Obama, a Corrado Clini, director general of the Italian Ministry of Environment in a conference with the theme "Acting in time on energy policy" held at the University of Harvard.
Obama, however, after his election, with a VCR to "Governors' Global Climate Summit" convened by Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in Beverly Hills, California, announced that the U.S. wants to take a leadership role on domestic and international problem Together with a dependence on foreign oil, the economy weakens and threatens security. It will begin by establishing a system of roof and trade in emissions of greenhouse gases (the system of the Kyoto Protocol) and annual targets for reducing the U.S. which will lead to the same 1990 levels by 2020 and a further reduction of '80% By 2050. Will be invested 15 billion dollars annually to renewable energy. It 'clear that Obama policy on climate change represents the real opportunity. We shall see!
Meanwhile, the Arctic Ocean is losing ice cap with an advance of approximately 30 years compared with IPCC predictions. Now it is expected that during the summer ice could disappear entirely between 2013 and 2040, a fact that has never occurred for more than a million years now. Marine ecosystems in the North Sea and Baltic Sea are now exposed to milder temperatures ever recorded since measurements began, resulting in unpredictable on the ecosystem, while the Mediterranean suffer droughts in the long term with increasing frequency.
Make the journey from North Cape to come close to Bering, on the occasion of 90th anniversary of Passage north-east, the first company from exploration carried out for Norwegian Roald Amundsen. is the goal that has set the shipment "BEYOND, Beyond The Edge 2008", which came from Milan on November 30 2008, that Petter Johannesen, granddaughter of Roald Amundsen and leader of the expedition, ripercorrerà stages of the Switching to North-East for the first time by mechanical means (jeeps), from North Cape to the Strait of Bering, challenging the extreme weather conditions of winter Siberian. The trip itself will end at the close of Bering in March 2009. Dispatch participate in total 45 people including scientists, doctors, journalists, photographers, video operators, drivers, mechanics, who will take turns every 30 days provided in 12 stages. The shipment was born in a spirit of adventure, but it also raises targets associated with the development of knowledge, scientific research, acquisition of environmental data through the comparison between the reality of early last century (the one told by the diaries of Amundsen) With the present one. The collection and comparison of scientific data will be of great importance to the IPCC.
The glaciers in the Swiss Alps continue to decrease, resulting in drastic reductions in the production of hydropower. Globally, it is expected that rising sea levels will be equal to twice the maximum dell'IPCC forecast, which estimated an increase of 0.59 meters by the end of the century, with serious risks for large coastal areas. The increase in temperatures has already resulted in a reduction in crops of wheat, corn and barley throughout the world. According to the latest studies, in the British Isles and the North Sea cyclones extreme increase in number and intensity, leading to an increase in wind speed and damage associated with storms over western and central Europe. The level of ground-level ozone, which acts as a pollutant, will be similar to that recorded during the heatwave of 2003, with further increases in England, Belgium, Germany and France. And even the maximum annual rainfall will increase in most of Europe, with consequent risk of flooding and economic damage.
E 'became clear that climate change is already having an impact greater than most scientists had anticipated. It is therefore vital that the international response to cutting emissions and adaptation is faster and more ambitious. The last IPCC report showed that the reasons for concern are now stronger and this should lead Europe to commit themselves because the increase in global temperature is well below 2 ° C compared to the pre-industrial. But even keeping the 2 ° C, according to the IPCC is necessary that developed countries reduce emissions by 25 to 40% by 2020 compared to 1990, while a 20% reduction would be insufficient. If the European Union will be regarded as a decisive leader in the UN summit in Copenhagen in 2009, and if he wants to contribute to the emergence of a strong global agreement to tackle climate change after 2012, should not continue to shirk their responsibilities and commit for a real reduction in emissions.
The agreement on climate and energy package, despite requests for tolerances and adjustments to the economic conditions in free fall in the world, was approved unanimously by the EU. The agreement reached on 12.12.2008 by the EU summit is a "historic" for Nicolas Sarkozy and reason for great optimism for Al Gore, both champions of the need for Europe to pay for pulling the world towards combating climate change more challenging and effective.
Therefore the only concrete hope in order to
found, to defend and to protect the Ecologic Democracy remains the Constitutional World Charter, otherwise we will bury not only our mother Earth but all our
illusions, too.
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